CTIA Perspective: Applications Meet Infrastructure
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The CTIA 2009 spring event was one mobile industry show where mobile
devices did not take center stage. Last week’s event was driven by two
main themes: Mobile applications and long-term evolution (LTE). In
addition to the iPhone AppStore, we now have Microsoft’s Windows Mobile
Marketplace and Research In Motion’s Blackberry App World. Multitudes
of vendors demonstrated their streaming video, GPS/LBS or mobile social
networking solutions - perhaps the next investment bubble to burst.
The big question is: Will carriers get a piece of the application
action in the mobile world,or will they revert to being dumb pipes as
they basically have with the Internet?
Microsoft and RIM seem more intent to include the carriers as part of
the value chain. After all, application success depends to a large
extent on the quality of the network, not just the handset. Mobile
carriers are spending billions over the half decade to migrate networks
to support high-speed broadband applications. Cisco estimates that 65%
of the traffic in mobile networks by 2013 will be composed of video.
Hence, the drive to promote and deploy LTE, which will ostensibly
provide a 100 Mb connection to each mobile device in the network.
LTE product developments and carrier deployments are speeding along
much faster than 3G developments did in previous years.
Infrastructure vendors such as Motorola and Nokia Siemens Networks are
adamant that their LTE technology is ready now, and an outstanding demo
“drive” by Motorola provided convincing evidence. However, the
consensus is that consumers will not be able to take advantage of any
LTE-based 4G infrastructure until mid-2010. That’s when a handful of
mobile LTE devices will be available, and 4G infrastructure will be in
place in some major metros. Handset vendors were very candid about
their progress in obtaining LTE-compatible chipsets. It’s still early
days, and there will be the usual hiccups associated with new
technology.
Overall, this year’s CTIA spring event belied any notion of an economic
recession. Compared to the show I attended in 2008, there appeared to
be a similar quantity of attendees and even more excitement continuing
to build around mobile broadband.
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